3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 231 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$889
Tax + insurance
−$135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$210
Net cashflow
$-234/mo
Annual
$-2,808/yr
Cap rate
4.64%
Cash-on-cash
-5.92%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$47,460
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-234 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (24.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (41.0% below list).
It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (41.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#202 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Laurel County (town): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #8 of 165 in KY (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 331 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 16 units permitted in Laurel County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $170k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.2% in London — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ERMBH72J0J9HTA
· Data 38 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29