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65 Bruce Ln
D Composite 43.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0

$169,500

65 Bruce Ln · Corbin, KY 40701
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 230 Days on market
Built 1969 $126/sqft · 20% below area Est $205k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful house on a dead end street close to everything. Great starter or downsizing. Lovely yard and mature trees. No carpet.

Key facts

  • No carpet
  • Dead end street
  • Lovely yard

Tags

DEAD END STREETLOVELY YARDMATURE TREESNO CARPET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-234 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (24.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (41.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (41.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.3% in Corbin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#179 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Laurel County (town): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #8 of 165 in KY (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 331 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 16 units permitted in Laurel County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $170k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,000 (41.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59%
Cap rate
4.64%
Cash-on-cash
-5.92%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
14.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$205,112
List price
$169,500
Delta
-17.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
141 Springfield Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,489 (+11%) 10mo $220,000 $148 58
155 Greenfield Subdivision 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,456 (+8%) 11mo $214,000 $147 54
120 Spring Cut Cir 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,203 (-10%) 12mo $227,500 $189 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-4,867
Equity at exit
$65,251
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$16,946
Equity at exit
$92,746

Cash invested: $47,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40701

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
331
Price-to-rent
14.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$889
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $774/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$-234

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,296
Max offer price $128,161
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-138 -5% $-186 +0% $-234 +5% $-282 +10% $-330
Rent -10% $-313 -5% $-274 +0% $-234 +5% $-195 +10% $-155
Rate -1.0pp $-149 -0.5pp $-191 base $-234 +0.5pp $-278 +1.0pp $-323

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,375
Closing costs
$5,085
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
302 American Greeting Card Rd Unit 123-2 Corbin, KY 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,000 $0.83 44d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $169,500 Active 230 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,500 Active 228 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,500 Active 227 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,500 Active 226 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,500 Active 225 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,500 Active 223 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $169,500 Active 222 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,500 Active 219 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,500 Active 218 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,500 Active 217 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,500 Active 216 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,500 Active 213 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,500 Active 212 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,500 Active 211 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,500 Active 210 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,500 Active 209 DOM
  17. 2025-10-29
    listed $169,500 Active 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    Beautiful house on a dead end street close to everything. Great starter or downsizing. Lovely yard and mature trees. No carpet.

  18. 2018-08-31
    soldstatus $85,000 Sold 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.

  19. 2018-08-31
    soldstatus $84,500
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.

  20. 2018-07-12
    status Pending 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.

  21. 2018-04-19
    status Active 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.

  22. 2018-04-16
    historical 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.

  23. 2018-01-16
    listed $97,500 Active 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.

  24. 2018-01-15
    historical
  25. 2018-01-03
    status Active
  26. 2017-12-01
    status Pending
  27. 2017-10-17
    price $97,500
  28. 2017-09-17
    listed $107,000 Active
  29. 2017-03-17
    historical
  30. 2017-02-06
    price $107,000
  31. 2016-12-20
    listed $110,000 Active
  32. 2010-05-13
    soldstatus $50,000
  33. 1970-09-01
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$774 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,458 · $121/mo
Expected delta
+$684/yr (+$57/mo · 88.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,000
− Mortgage interest
−$9,495
− Property taxes
−$774
− Insurance
−$848
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− Depreciation
−$4,931
Taxable loss
−$5,967
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,432
After-tax cash flow
$-1,376/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Laurel County
NCES district ID
2103210
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$36,577
Composite
44.39/100
National rank
#2814
State rank
#8 of 165 in KY

Livability — Corbin

Score
69/100
State rank
#179
US rank
#8891

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
29,767

Population outlook (Laurel County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,602 people
By 2030
63,310 · +1.1%
By 2040
63,706 · +1.8%
By 2050
62,705 · +0.2%
By 2075
58,574 · -6.4%
By 2100
50,888 · -18.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Laurel

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.9) · D 14.5% · R 84.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -58.0pp · 2024: -69.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.9 2020: R+66.7 2016: R+69.1 2012: R+63.6 2008: R+58.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.82%
Current HPI
294.7961
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+747.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-29 Listed $169,500 Fizber.com
  • 2018-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $84,500 Public Records
  • 2018-08-31 Sold (MLS) $85,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2018-07-12 Pending ImagineMLS
  • 2018-04-19 Relisted ImagineMLS
  • 2018-04-16 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2018-01-16 Listed $97,500 ImagineMLS
  • 2018-01-15 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2018-01-03 Relisted ImagineMLS
  • 2017-12-01 Pending ImagineMLS
  • 2017-10-17 Price Changed $97,500 ImagineMLS
  • 2017-09-17 Listed $107,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2017-03-17 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2017-02-06 Price Changed $107,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2016-12-20 Listed $110,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2010-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1970-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $774 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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