65 Bruce Ln · Corbin, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
$169,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful house on a dead end street close to everything. Great starter or downsizing. Lovely yard and mature trees. No carpet.
Key facts
- No carpet
- Dead end street
- Lovely yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-234 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (24.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (41.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (41.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.3% in Corbin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#179 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Laurel County (town): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #8 of 165 in KY (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 331 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 16 units permitted in Laurel County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $170k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.92%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 14.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $205,112
- List price
- $169,500
- Delta
- -17.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Springfield Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,489 (+11%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $148 | 58 |
| 155 Greenfield Subdivision | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,456 (+8%) | 11mo | $214,000 | $147 | 54 |
| 120 Spring Cut Cir | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,203 (-10%) | 12mo | $227,500 | $189 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,867
- Equity at exit
- $65,251
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $16,946
- Equity at exit
- $92,746
Cash invested: $47,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40701
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 14.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$889
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $774/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $-234
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-138 | -5% $-186 | +0% $-234 | +5% $-282 | +10% $-330 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-313 | -5% $-274 | +0% $-234 | +5% $-195 | +10% $-155 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-149 | -0.5pp $-191 | base $-234 | +0.5pp $-278 | +1.0pp $-323 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,375
- Closing costs
- $5,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 American Greeting Card Rd Unit 123-2 Corbin, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,500 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,500 Active 228 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $169,500 Active 227 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $169,500 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,500 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,500 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $169,500 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,500 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,500 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,500 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,500 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $169,500 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,500 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,500 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,500 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,500 Active 209 DOM
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2025-10-29$169,500 Active 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Beautiful house on a dead end street close to everything. Great starter or downsizing. Lovely yard and mature trees. No carpet.
-
2018-08-31soldstatus $85,000 Sold 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.
-
2018-08-31soldstatus $84,500
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.
-
2018-07-12status Pending 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.
-
2018-04-19status Active 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.
-
2018-04-16historical 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.
-
2018-01-16$97,500 Active 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Super cute 3 bedroom, brick home on corner lot in a great location convenient to both London and Corbin. Living room, formal dinning room, nice kitchen with newer cabinets - seperate laundry/mud room with carport. *Lot size & sq footage according to pva.
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2018-01-15historical
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2018-01-03status Active
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2017-12-01status Pending
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2017-10-17price $97,500
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2017-09-17$107,000 Active
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2017-03-17historical
-
2017-02-06price $107,000
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2016-12-20$110,000 Active
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2010-05-13soldstatus $50,000
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1970-09-01soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $774 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,458 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$684/yr (+$57/mo · 88.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,495
- − Property taxes
- −$774
- − Insurance
- −$848
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$4,931
- Taxable loss
- −$5,967
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,432
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Laurel County
- NCES district ID
- 2103210
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,577
- Composite
- 44.39/100
- National rank
- #2814
- State rank
- #8 of 165 in KY
Livability — Corbin
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #179
- US rank
- #8891
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,767
Population outlook (Laurel County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,602 people
- By 2030
- 63,310 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 63,706 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 62,705 · +0.2%
- By 2075
- 58,574 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 50,888 · -18.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Laurel
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.9) · D 14.5% · R 84.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -58.0pp · 2024: -69.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.9 2020: R+66.7 2016: R+69.1 2012: R+63.6 2008: R+58.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Current HPI
- 294.7961
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+747.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-29 Listed $169,500 Fizber.com
- 2018-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $84,500 Public Records
- 2018-08-31 Sold (MLS) $85,000 ImagineMLS
- 2018-07-12 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2018-04-19 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2018-04-16 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2018-01-16 Listed $97,500 ImagineMLS
- 2018-01-15 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2018-01-03 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2017-12-01 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2017-10-17 Price Changed $97,500 ImagineMLS
- 2017-09-17 Listed $107,000 ImagineMLS
- 2017-03-17 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2017-02-06 Price Changed $107,000 ImagineMLS
- 2016-12-20 Listed $110,000 ImagineMLS
- 2010-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1970-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $774 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…