3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,188 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$944/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$183
Tax + insurance
−$85
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$198
Net cashflow
$478/mo
Annual
$5,739/yr
Cap rate
22.74%
Cash-on-cash
58.72%
DSCR
3.61
1% rule
2.71%
Cash to close
$9,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($944 rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($241 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#627 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-, commute F.
Martin County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #150 of 178 in NC (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Jamesville Elementary (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #302 of 1,410 statewide, top 23%, 208 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 29% district-wide (+26 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Martin County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.
Martin County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (42%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ES2ZXP20X8PE9V
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29