16 bd · 4.0 ba ·
4,020 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 159 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,936/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$450
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$827
Net cashflow
$1,244/mo
Annual
$14,922/yr
Cap rate
11.82%
Cash-on-cash
19.74%
DSCR
1.88
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 1×3bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $270k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $311/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $270k).
It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#510 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Canajoharie Central School District (town): math 38% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #414 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Missing shingles
Major: exterior siding
— Weathered and peeling
Major: flooring
— Worn-out carpet
Major: interior walls
— Peeling paint
Major: windows
— Dirty and old
CashFlowRE · CFR-ESAZ3R0H10GF8E
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29