1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
408 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Manufactured
· Active
· 119 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,389/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$398
Tax + insurance
−$127
HOA
−$256
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$316/mo
Annual
$3,796/yr
Cap rate
11.29%
Cash-on-cash
17.84%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
1.83%
Cash to close
$21,277
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $69k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $275 of equity ($526 loan paydown + $-251 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 719 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.2% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ET1Q3B7AARQBJ0
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29