1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
705 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Condo
· Active
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,515/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$618
Tax + insurance
−$345
HOA
−$1,056
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$528
Net cashflow
$-32/mo
Annual
$-378/yr
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.38%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
2.14%
Cash to close
$32,984
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $118k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-378/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (4.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $118k).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $512 of equity ($814 loan paydown + $-302 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#122 in FL, #1,868 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: John I. Smith K-8 Center (math 57% / reading 58%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 1,001 students, 31% FRL); Ruben Dario Middle School (math 32% / reading 45%, grade F, #384 of 571 statewide, top 68%, 549 students, 62% FRL); Ronald W. Reagan/Doral Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 1,591 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 64% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo; HOA is 42% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 478 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $90k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.8% in Doral — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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