4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
3,209 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Other
· Active
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,358/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$168
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$40/mo
Annual
$480/yr
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.04%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($480/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (17.7% below list).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#459 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Maries County R-I (rural): math 20% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #272 of 324 in MO (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Vienna Elem. (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #850 of 1,115 statewide, top 78%, 186 students, 39% FRL); Vienna High (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 167 students, 31% FRL).
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP.
Maries County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29