3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,027 sqft ·
Built 1913
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 292 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,277/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$286
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$632/mo
Annual
$7,585/yr
Cap rate
20.21%
Cash-on-cash
49.70%
DSCR
3.21
1% rule
2.34%
Cash to close
$15,260
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $632 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
It's been on market 292 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($377 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#190 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
Tgu 60 (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #143 of 169 in ND (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in McHenry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McHenry County population projected at +57% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 292 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EVY6C084N3A3ZS
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29