3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,109/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$750
Tax + insurance
−$89
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$443
Net cashflow
$828/mo
Annual
$9,934/yr
Cap rate
13.24%
Cash-on-cash
24.81%
DSCR
2.10
1% rule
1.48%
Cash to close
$40,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $143k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $828 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $143k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $989 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#13 in GA, #2,017 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Coweta County (rural): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #36 of 174 in GA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Thomas Crossroads Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #130 of 1,228 statewide, top 11%, 396 students, 25% FRL); Blake Bass Middle School (903 students, 26% FRL); Northgate High School (math 43% / reading 48%, grade D-, #45 of 424 statewide, top 10%, 1,970 students, 22% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Coweta County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 963 units permitted in Coweta County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coweta County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $143k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 3.4% in Tyrone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EW30H3F8PJ0NS9
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29