3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,011/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$427
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$422
Net cashflow
$-254/mo
Annual
$-3,045/yr
Cap rate
5.17%
Cash-on-cash
-4.03%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-254 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (16.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (25.5% below list).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $201k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#77 in IL, #1,276 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
J S Morton Hsd 201 (suburban): math 9% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #557 of 620 in IL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Unity Jr High School (math 6% / reading 10%, grade F, #608 of 665 statewide, top 92%, 2,054 students, 0% FRL); J Sterling Morton East High Sch (math 7% / reading 11%, grade F, #580 of 693 statewide, top 84%, 3,445 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
22 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $195k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EX1D4A9NYYC7FP
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29