5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,121 sqft ·
Built 1979
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 251 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,827/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,648
Tax + insurance
−$546
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$804
Net cashflow
$-170/mo
Annual
$-2,046/yr
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.45%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$141,400
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $505k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-170 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-85/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $475k (6.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $383k (24.2% below list).
It's been on market 251 days — a 12% lower offer ($444k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $383k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#157 in AK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Zoned schools: Houghtaling Elementary (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #75 of 156 statewide, top 52%, 310 students, 59% FRL); Schoenbar Middle School (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #26 of 36 statewide, top 71%, 269 students, 40% FRL); Ketchikan High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #17 of 61 statewide, top 32%, 498 students, 28% FRL).
Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Ketchikan Gateway Borough in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ketchikan Gateway County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 251 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-EX3241CJ4BR4N9
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29