1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
905 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Active
· 515 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,446/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$346
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$724
Net cashflow
$1,997/mo
Annual
$23,958/yr
Cap rate
49.85%
Cash-on-cash
155.57%
DSCR
7.92
1% rule
6.27%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 515 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#19 in HI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, commute B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 637 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 906 units permitted in Maui County in 2024 (289 in 5+ unit buildings).
Maui County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $55k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 515 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EYR250EN17SH04
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29