200 Castle Dr

Jasper, TN 37347

$205,000B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · Built 1997 · SingleFamily · Pending · 10 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,300/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,075
• Tax + insurance: −$183
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$483
• Net cashflow: $559/mo
• Annual: $6,707/yr
• Cap rate: 9.56%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.69%
• DSCR: 1.52
• 1% rule: 1.12%
• Cash to close: $57,400

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#287 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
• Marion County (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #89 of 139 in TN (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Jasper Elementary School (math 36% / reading 33%, grade F, #319 of 952 statewide, top 37%, 629 students, 0% FRL); Marion Co High School (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #125 of 332 statewide, top 38%, 491 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 417 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 225 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 1.7% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.