200 Castle Dr · Jasper, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4 Bedroom 2 Bath home on Castle Dr in Jasper. Spacious open Living Room, Kitchen, and Dining area. New Flooring, and New Deck. Attached 2 Car Garage Nice Level lot!
Key facts
- 0.59 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1997
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Garage includes door opener; garage at kitchen level
- Security: Smoke detectors installed
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single-story; Residential property; Has a view
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Deck; Covered patio and porch; Fenced yard; Shingle roof; Cul-de-sac location; Level lot; Asphalt road frontage (public maintained county road)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater (serves kitchen); Open floor plan connecting kitchen to living areas
- Bedrooms: Master on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Open floor plan; Master bedroom on main level; Aluminum-framed windows; Electric water heater; Hardwood flooring; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer hookup; Electric and gas dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 1.7% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#287 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Marion County (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #89 of 139 in TN (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Jasper Elementary School (math 36% / reading 33%, grade F, #319 of 952 statewide, top 37%, 629 students, 0% FRL); Marion Co High School (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #125 of 332 statewide, top 38%, 491 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 417 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 225 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.69%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $376,500
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130 Jasper Gulch Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (-8%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $251 | 74 |
| 126 Harris Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+4%) | 12mo | $269,900 | $173 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $2,317
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $47,602
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37347
- Home prices YoY
- -8.4%
- Active inventory
- 417
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,171/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $559
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Marshall Hall Rd Jasper, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,300 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-04$205,000 Active
-
2022-06-15historical 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 Bath home on Castle Dr in Jasper. Spacious open Living Room, Kitchen, and Dining area. New Flooring, and New Deck. Attached 2 Car Garage Nice Level lot!
-
2022-06-09soldstatus $277,000
-
2022-06-07soldstatus $277,000 Closed 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 Bath home on Castle Dr in Jasper. Spacious open Living Room, Kitchen, and Dining area. New Flooring, and New Deck. Attached 2 Car Garage Nice Level lot!
-
2022-06-07soldstatus $277,000 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 Bath home on Castle Dr in Jasper. Spacious open Living Room, Kitchen, and Dining area. New Flooring, and New Deck. Attached 2 Car Garage Nice Level lot!
-
2022-04-30historical Contingent 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 Bath home on Castle Dr in Jasper. Spacious open Living Room, Kitchen, and Dining area. New Flooring, and New Deck. Attached 2 Car Garage Nice Level lot!
-
2022-04-11status Active 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 Bath home on Castle Dr in Jasper. Spacious open Living Room, Kitchen, and Dining area. New Flooring, and New Deck. Attached 2 Car Garage Nice Level lot!
-
2022-03-16historical Contingent 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 Bath home on Castle Dr in Jasper. Spacious open Living Room, Kitchen, and Dining area. New Flooring, and New Deck. Attached 2 Car Garage Nice Level lot!
-
2022-03-10status Active 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 Bath home on Castle Dr in Jasper. Spacious open Living Room, Kitchen, and Dining area. New Flooring, and New Deck. Attached 2 Car Garage Nice Level lot!
-
2022-02-27historical Contingent 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 Bath home on Castle Dr in Jasper. Spacious open Living Room, Kitchen, and Dining area. New Flooring, and New Deck. Attached 2 Car Garage Nice Level lot!
-
2022-02-25$269,000 Active 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 Bath home on Castle Dr in Jasper. Spacious open Living Room, Kitchen, and Dining area. New Flooring, and New Deck. Attached 2 Car Garage Nice Level lot!
-
2021-06-03soldstatus $198,000
-
2021-05-24soldstatus $198,000 Closed
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2021-04-19$200,000
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2021-04-19Contingent
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,171 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,456 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$284/yr (+$24/mo · 24.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$1,171
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,208
- − Management
- −$2,208
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable income
- $3,541
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$850
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,857/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion County
- NCES district ID
- 4702640
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,941
- Composite
- 20.88/100
- National rank
- #8494
- State rank
- #89 of 139 in TN
Livability — Jasper
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #287
- US rank
- #20173
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jasper, TN
- City population
- 8,555
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,555
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,889 people
- By 2030
- 28,915 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 28,662 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 28,053 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 26,855 · -7.0%
- By 2100
- 24,404 · -15.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -55.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.8 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.40%
- Current HPI
- 300.261
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+2.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — GCAR
- 2026-05-04 Listed $205,000 GCAR
- 2022-06-15 Delisted — GCAR
- 2022-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $277,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-07 Sold (MLS) $277,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-07 Sold (MLS) $277,000 GCAR
- 2022-04-30 Contingent — GCAR
- 2022-04-11 Relisted — GCAR
- 2022-03-16 Contingent — GCAR
- 2022-03-10 Relisted — GCAR
- 2022-02-27 Contingent — GCAR
- 2022-02-25 Listed $269,000 GCAR
- 2021-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $198,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-24 Sold (MLS) $198,000 GCAR
- 2021-04-19 Listed — GCAR
- 2021-04-19 Listed $200,000 GCAR
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,171 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…