4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,153 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 318 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,118/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$155
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$235
Net cashflow
$52/mo
Annual
$628/yr
Cap rate
6.78%
Cash-on-cash
1.74%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($628/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (13.3% below list).
It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#810 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Maud ISD (rural): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #111 of 826 in TX (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EZ53HX64YXGN7S
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29