4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,427 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,174/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$513
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$666
Net cashflow
$-235/mo
Annual
$-2,821/yr
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.37%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $425k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-235 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $383k (9.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $317k (25.3% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $317k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#43 in OH, #590 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F.
Mason City (suburban): math 81% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #33 of 656 in OH (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Mason Early Childhood Center Elementary School (2,085 students, 10% FRL); Mason Middle School (math 77% / reading 80%, grade A+, #58 of 654 statewide, top 9%, 1,662 students, 8% FRL); William Mason High School (math 74% / reading 86%, grade A, #31 of 781 statewide, top 4%, 3,414 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 8% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $319k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.2% in Mason — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EZZ45R0N4V164T
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29