None bd · None ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1955
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$118,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$55,063
Tax + insurance
−$12,834
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$24,906
Net cashflow
$25,796/mo
Annual
$309,557/yr
Cap rate
9.24%
Cash-on-cash
10.53%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$2,940,000
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $10.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $26k ($310k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($119k rent vs $10.50M).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($10.34M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $10.34M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $643k of equity ($73k loan paydown + $570k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#245 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Tamalpais Union High (suburban): math 62% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #42 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Anthony G. Bacich Elementary (541 students, 13% FRL); Adaline E. Kent Middle (513 students, 11% FRL); Redwood High (math 67% / reading 81%, grade B+, #85 of 1,170 statewide, top 8%, 1,862 students, 8% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 149 units permitted in Marin County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marin County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $2.33M; list at $10.50M implies a 351% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $2.94M cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$1.03M cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
At $118,600/mo this rent would consume 842% of the median local household income ($169k/yr) (locally 713% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F1AZ9V23FJGZ4N
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29