3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,114/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$177
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$234
Net cashflow
$49/mo
Annual
$585/yr
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.67%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($585/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (10.8% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $111k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,073 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Staunton CUSD 6 (town): math 22% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #323 of 620 in IL (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Staunton Elem School (math 23% / reading 28%, grade F, #829 of 2,056 statewide, top 41%, 563 students, 0% FRL); Staunton Jr High School (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #327 of 665 statewide, top 50%, 243 students, 0% FRL); Staunton High School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #319 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 411 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 35% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Macoupin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macoupin County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.7% in Staunton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F23E8BBP93RAXD
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29