2928 Carambola Cir S

Coconut Creek, FL 33066

$224,900D-

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 978 sqft · Built 1988 · Townhouse · Active · 179 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,270/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,179
• Tax + insurance: −$375
• HOA: −$645
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$477
• Net cashflow: $-406/mo
• Annual: $-4,871/yr
• Cap rate: 4.13%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.74%
• DSCR: 0.66
• 1% rule: 1.01%
• Cash to close: $62,972

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-406 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (26.1% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
• It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $166k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 85/100 on livability (#30 in FL, #617 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
• Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Coconut Creek Elementary School (math 31% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,684 of 2,144 statewide, top 79%, 475 students, 66% FRL); Lyons Creek Middle School (math 49% / reading 53%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,757 students, 60% FRL); Monarch High School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,344 students, 54% FRL).
• Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 95d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 85% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• At $2,270/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 16% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.