2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
650 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Manufactured
· Active
· 180 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$992/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$404
Tax + insurance
−$56
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$208
Net cashflow
$324/mo
Annual
$3,890/yr
Cap rate
11.34%
Cash-on-cash
18.04%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$21,560
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $77k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $77k).
It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($532 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#77 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bowler Grant Es (math 44% / reading 52%, grade D, #64 of 402 statewide, top 16%, 690 students, 100% FRL); Lyon Mack Ms (math 41% / reading 54%, grade C-, #11 of 109 statewide, top 9%, 404 students, 100% FRL); Moapa Valley Hs (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #32 of 131 statewide, top 25%, 573 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 30% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Clark County School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $77k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F58TMGB1NZ0YK2
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29