3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,358 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,852/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,193
Tax + insurance
−$379
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$389
Net cashflow
$-109/mo
Annual
$-1,306/yr
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.05%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$63,700
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $228k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (6.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (18.6% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $185k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Smiley Elementary School (1,258 students, 67% FRL); Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Exposed framing and construction materials
Major: exterior
— Exposed framing and construction materials
Major: flooring
— Exposed framing and construction materials
Major: interior walls
— Exposed framing and construction materials
Major: systems
— Exposed framing and construction materials
CashFlowRE · CFR-F5NK02982HDGJ6
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29