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37 NE Railroad St
D Composite 40.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$227,500

37 NE Railroad St · Ludowici, GA 31316
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,358 sqft · SingleFamily · 31 Days on market
Built 2026 Poor condition 8,276 sqft lot Est $235k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 3 bedroom, 2 bath home featuring a welcoming front porch perfect for relaxing. Inside, you'll find a cozy layout with an open kitchen complete with a islan ideal for gathering and everyday living. Comfortable bedrooms and a private master bedroom make this home both functional and inviting.

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Open kitchen
  • 8,276 sq ft lot

Tags

FRONT PORCHOPEN KITCHENPRIVATE MASTER BEDROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-story home; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Construction: New construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.19 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Cooling system present
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; New construction; Insulation, energy-efficient windows, programmable thermostat

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $228k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (6.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (18.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Smiley Elementary School (1,258 students, 67% FRL); Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $185,238 (18.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.05%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$234,934
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
177 Palmetto Way NE 0.34mi 3/2.5 1,369 (+1%) 8mo $242,900 $177 75
142 Railroad St 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,292 (-5%) 20mo $220,000 $170 73
167 NE Hendrix St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,363 (+0%) 3mo $232,000 $170 66
371 Cutters Gap SE 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-4%) 12mo $225,000 $173 53
613 S Macon St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,282 (-6%) 10mo $217,000 $169 53
60 Oak Ridge Cemetery Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-4%) 14mo $227,000 $175 47
819 S Mcdonald St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,194 (-12%) 3mo $51,000 $43 46
21 SW Oak Ridge Cemetery Rd SW 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,473 (+8%) 8mo $285,000 $193 44
55 Union St 0.37mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,472 (+8%) 18mo $250,000 $170 44
625 S Macon St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,282 (-6%) 22mo $230,000 $179 43
398 Macon St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,172 (-14%) 18mo $210,500 $180 42
72 Franklin Tree Dr NE 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,544 (+14%) 20mo $252,400 $163 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-879
Equity at exit
$79,547
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$35,338
Equity at exit
$107,182

Cash invested: $63,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31316

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
412
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,852 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,193
Tax est. 1.5%
$284 /mo · $3,412/yr
Insurance
$95
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$389
Net cashflow
$-109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,990
Max offer price $211,753
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $48 -5% $-30 +0% $-109 +5% $-187 +10% $-266
Rent -10% $-255 -5% $-182 +0% $-109 +5% $-36 +10% $38
Rate -1.0pp $6 -0.5pp $-51 base $-109 +0.5pp $-168 +1.0pp $-228

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,875
Closing costs
$6,825
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
34 Pine St Unit C C Ludowici, GA 2.0 1.0 990 $1,395 $1.41 45d 1 0.07mi
149 W Franklin St Ludowici, GA 3.0 2.5 1704 $2,250 $1.32 45d 1 0.76mi
147 Rimes Ave SE Ludowici, GA 4.0 2.0 1782 $2,100 $1.18 45d 1 1.11mi
15 Clark St Ludowici, GA 3.0 2.0 1497 $1,995 $1.33 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $227,500 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $227,500 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $227,500 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $227,500 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $227,500 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $227,500 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $227,500 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $227,500 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $227,500 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $227,500 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $227,500 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $227,500 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $227,500 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $227,500 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $227,500 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $227,500 Active 11 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $227,500 Active 10 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $227,500 Active 9 DOM
  19. 2026-01-01
    listed $227,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,229
− Mortgage interest
−$12,744
− Property taxes
−$3,412
− Insurance
−$1,138
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,778
− Management
−$1,778
− Depreciation
−$6,618
Taxable loss
−$5,240
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,258
After-tax cash flow
$-48/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This home is in the early stages of construction and requires extensive work to be move-in ready. Significant value can be added through a comprehensive renovation.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Exposed framing and construction materials
  • Major exterior — Exposed framing and construction materials
  • Major flooring — Exposed framing and construction materials
  • Major interior walls — Exposed framing and construction materials
  • Major systems — Exposed framing and construction materials

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and value
  • Resale exterior siding and paint — A fresh exterior will make the home more attractive to potential buyers
  • Resale flooring and interior walls — Completed construction will make the home move-in ready and more appealing
  • Both kitchen and bathrooms — Upgraded kitchen and bathrooms will increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Exposed framing and construction materials Major $15,000–50,000
exterior · Exposed framing and construction materials Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Exposed framing and construction materials Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · Exposed framing and construction materials Major $15,000–50,000
systems · Exposed framing and construction materials Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and value
  • Resale exterior siding and paint — A fresh exterior will make the home more attractive to potential buyers
  • Resale flooring and interior walls — Completed construction will make the home move-in ready and more appealing
  • Both kitchen and bathrooms — Upgraded kitchen and bathrooms will increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Long County
NCES district ID
1303360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$45,958
Composite
22.51/100
National rank
#8090
State rank
#115 of 174 in GA

Livability — Ludowici

Score
72/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#6449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ludowici, GA
County
Long County · 13,812 people
City population
13,812
Metro
Hinesville, GA
Population (ZIP)
13,812
Household income
$74,766
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
109.0

Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,669 people
By 2030
28,223 · +14.4%
By 2040
35,430 · +43.6%
By 2050
42,403 · +71.9%
By 2075
56,996 · +131.0%
By 2100
64,185 · +160.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Long

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.16%
Current HPI
195.2978
Rent YoY
Metro
Hinesville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-01 Listed $227,500 GIAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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