1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
618 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,795/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$237
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$377
Net cashflow
$179/mo
Annual
$2,144/yr
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.28%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#2 in CT, #371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D-.
New Milford School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #100 of 153 in CT (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Hill And Plain School (377 students, 47% FRL); New Milford High School (math 33% / reading 62%, grade D, #91 of 194 statewide, top 47%, 1,247 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 15% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.6% in New Milford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F6S4ZB7PCBQXTZ
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29