2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,313 sqft ·
Built 1898
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,068/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$356
Tax + insurance
−$80
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$408/mo
Annual
$4,898/yr
Cap rate
13.52%
Cash-on-cash
25.80%
DSCR
2.15
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$18,984
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $469 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#89 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
Las Animas School District No. Re-1 (town): math 14% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #76 of 86 in CO (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Bent County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bent County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $27k; list at $68k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 5.4% in Las Animas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F6TTJ2B7F01BBH
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29