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658 St. Vrain Ave
B Composite 72.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$67,800

658 St. Vrain Ave · Las Animas, CO 81054
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,313 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1898 7,000 sqft lot Est $76k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Character like this is something you really need to step inside to appreciate. Natural light fills the home, and the open living and dining area creates a comfortable space to gather. A wood burning fireplace sits between the two rooms, adding warmth and character while still keeping the layout open. The kitchen is functional and full of personality, featuring a vintage metal cabinet with drainboard sink that those who appreciate older homes will love. There's plenty of workspace, a dedicated coffee corner, and an oversized walk-in pantry. The opening above the sink creates a pass through into the mud room, bringing in additional light from the side windows and helping the space feel more c

Key facts

  • 7,000 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1898

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Corner lot
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; detached carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Wood fencing; Outbuilding / shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan cooling; no central air
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Master bedroom on main level; Double-pane windows; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 5.4% in Las Animas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#89 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Las Animas School District No. Re-1 (town): math 14% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #76 of 86 in CO (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Bent County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $469 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bent County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $27k; list at $68k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,766 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
13.52%
Cash-on-cash
25.80%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$76,154
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
134 11th St 0.36mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,329 (+1%) 7mo $58,000 $44 68
243 Elm Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,252 (-5%) 5mo $62,500 $50 65
0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,353 (+3%) 15mo $35,000 $26 60
647 Garfield Ave 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,214 (-8%) 21mo $148,500 $122 55
350 Vigil Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 1,140 (-13%) 14mo $130,500 $114 54
120 Elm Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (-9%) 9mo $70,000 $58 48
710 5th St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,162 (-12%) 10mo $44,000 $38 44
12 2nd St 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,431 (+9%) 22mo $195,000 $136 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$15,005
Equity at exit
$10,109
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
3.45×
Total profit
$46,524
Equity at exit
$5,862

Cash invested: $18,984 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81054

Home prices YoY
-14.1%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,068 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$356
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $620/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$408

Break-even live

Break-even rent $551
Max offer price $67,800
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $447 -5% $427 +0% $408 +5% $389 +10% $370
Rent -10% $324 -5% $366 +0% $408 +5% $450 +10% $493
Rate -1.0pp $442 -0.5pp $425 base $408 +0.5pp $391 +1.0pp $373

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,950
Closing costs
$2,034
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,800 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,800 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,800 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,800 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-04-29
    listed $67,800 Active
  6. 1998-11-24
    soldstatus $27,150

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$620 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$620 · $52/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,815
− Mortgage interest
−$3,798
− Property taxes
−$620
− Insurance
−$339
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,025
− Management
−$1,025
− Depreciation
−$1,972
Taxable income
$4,035
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$968
After-tax cash flow
$3,930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Las Animas School District No. Re-1
NCES district ID
0805250
Math proficiency
14% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$33,597
Composite
17.94/100
National rank
#8993
State rank
#76 of 86 in CO

Livability — Las Animas

Score
70/100
State rank
#89
US rank
#7896

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Las Animas, CO
Population (ZIP)
4,760

Population outlook (Bent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,223 people
By 2030
4,985 · -4.6%
By 2040
4,592 · -12.1%
By 2050
4,207 · -19.5%
By 2075
3,216 · -38.4%
By 2100
2,347 · -55.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bent

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.9) · D 29.5% · R 68.3% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.4pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -38.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+30.9 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.76%
Current HPI
218.1482
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $67,800 PARMLS
  • 1998-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $27,150 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $620 · +274.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…