4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,618 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 196 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,374/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,099
Tax + insurance
−$667
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$499
Net cashflow
$-890/mo
Annual
$-10,685/yr
Cap rate
3.62%
Cash-on-cash
-9.53%
DSCR
0.58
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$112,067
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $395k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-890 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $271k (31.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (39.9% below list).
It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($348k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $237k (39.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#192 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Northside Elementary School (math 30% / reading 28%, grade F, #663 of 1,228 statewide, top 54%, 644 students, 50% FRL); Lena Mae Moses Middle School (math 38% / reading 53%, grade D+, #97 of 470 statewide, top 22%, 907 students, 42% FRL); North Paulding High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 2,986 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 968 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 99d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29