58 Periwinkle Dr

Bohemia, NY 11716

$289,990B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Built 1973 · Manufactured · Pending · 108 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,198/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,299
• Tax + insurance: −$413
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$672
• Net cashflow: $814/mo
• Annual: $9,765/yr
• Cap rate: 10.23%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.07%
• DSCR: 1.63
• 1% rule: 1.29%
• Cash to close: $69,384

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $290k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $814 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $290k).
• It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $264k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#838 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• Connetquot Central School District (suburban): math 67% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #155 of 590 in NY (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Cherokee Street Elementary School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 592 students, 35% FRL); Oakdale-Bohemia Middle School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade A-, #121 of 729 statewide, top 17%, 634 students, 22% FRL); Connetquot High School (math 96% / reading 72%, grade A, #404 of 1,100 statewide, top 37%, 1,757 students, 27% FRL).
• Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.5% in Bohemia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.