Clayton 3 Little Birds -Zero Energy Ready Home Plan

Tecumseh, MI 49286

$114,999C

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Built — · Manufactured · Active · 995 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,421/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$695
• Tax + insurance: −$221
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$298
• Net cashflow: $208/mo
• Annual: $2,492/yr
• Cap rate: 8.17%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.72%
• DSCR: 1.30
• 1% rule: 1.07%
• Cash to close: $37,083

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
• It's been on market 995 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $916 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#103 in MI, #2,459 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Tecumseh Public Schools (town): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #181 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Tecumseh Acres North Early Learning Center (303 students, 43% FRL); Tecumseh Middle School (math 33% / reading 41%, grade F, #248 of 493 statewide, top 53%, 793 students, 34% FRL); Tecumseh High School (math 37% / reading 72%, grade C-, #109 of 713 statewide, top 17%, 800 students, 33% FRL).
• Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.6% in Tecumseh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 995 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.