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Clayton 3 Little Birds -Zero Energy Ready Home Plan 🏗️ New Construction
C- Composite 50.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,999

Clayton 3 Little Birds -Zero Energy Ready Home Plan · Tecumseh, MI 49286
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured · 947 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* Pricing is subject to change and cannot be guaranteed or held. Waterfront Sites Available The Tempo Series is a complete drywall home that features a stunning kitchen meticulously crafted to provide both style and functionality. The kitchen has a gorgeous island, Energy Star Stainless Steel Appliances, recessed can lighting, ample space, and casual dining area. The primary bedroom has a large walk-in closet, a private retreat bath with his and hers double sink vanity, and a fiberglass shower with glass doors. * Financing is offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan. Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $114,999, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,811, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

Key facts

  • Listed 947 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $114,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $184,871.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.3% in Tecumseh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#103 in MI, #2,459 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Tecumseh Public Schools (town): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #181 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Tecumseh Acres North Early Learning Center (303 students, 43% FRL); Tecumseh Middle School (math 33% / reading 41%, grade F, #248 of 493 statewide, top 53%, 793 students, 34% FRL); Tecumseh High School (math 37% / reading 72%, grade C-, #109 of 713 statewide, top 17%, 800 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 947 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $101,199 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 947 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.19%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$184,871
List price
$114,999
Delta
-37.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3820 Kaiser Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,338 (+7%) 9mo $206,000 $154 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-18,420
Equity at exit
$27,565
10-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,108
Equity at exit
$15,984

Cash invested: $51,764 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49286

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,846 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$969
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,773/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$181

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,617
Max offer price $184,871
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $308 -5% $245 +0% $181 +5% $117 +10% $53
Rent -10% $35 -5% $108 +0% $181 +5% $254 +10% $327
Rate -1.0pp $274 -0.5pp $228 base $181 +0.5pp $133 +1.0pp $84

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,218
Closing costs
$5,546
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9115 N Union St Tecumseh, MI 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,876 $1.33 15d 4 0.02mi
9103 N Union St #174 Tecumseh, MI 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,903 $1.42 15d 1 0.07mi
9103 N Union St #165 Tecumseh, MI 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,848 $1.48 15d 1 0.07mi
1325 Southwestern Dr Tecumseh, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,130 $1.19 15d 1 1.31mi
1316 Southwestern Dr Tecumseh, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,130 $1.19 15d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $114,999 Active 947 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,999 Active 944 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,999 Active 943 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,999 Active 942 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,999 Active 941 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $114,999 Active 939 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,999 Active 938 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $114,999 Active 936 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,999 Active 935 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,999 Active 934 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,999 Active 933 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $114,999 Active 930 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $114,999 Active 929 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,999 Active 928 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,999 Active 927 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,999 Active 926 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,999 Active 925 DOM
  18. 2025-05-08
    price $114,999 1338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1338 chars)

    * Pricing is subject to change and cannot be guaranteed or held. Waterfront Sites Available The Tempo Series is a complete drywall home that features a stunning kitchen meticulously crafted to provide both style and functionality. The kitchen has a gorgeous island, Energy Star Stainless Steel Appliances, recessed can lighting, ample space, and casual dining area. The primary bedroom has a large walk-in closet, a private retreat bath with his and hers double sink vanity, and a fiberglass shower with glass doors. * Financing is offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan. Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $114,999, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,811, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

  19. 2024-01-12
    status Active 1338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1338 chars)

    * Pricing is subject to change and cannot be guaranteed or held. Waterfront Sites Available The Tempo Series is a complete drywall home that features a stunning kitchen meticulously crafted to provide both style and functionality. The kitchen has a gorgeous island, Energy Star Stainless Steel Appliances, recessed can lighting, ample space, and casual dining area. The primary bedroom has a large walk-in closet, a private retreat bath with his and hers double sink vanity, and a fiberglass shower with glass doors. * Financing is offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan. Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $114,999, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,811, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

  20. 2024-01-03
    historical 1338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1338 chars)

    * Pricing is subject to change and cannot be guaranteed or held. Waterfront Sites Available The Tempo Series is a complete drywall home that features a stunning kitchen meticulously crafted to provide both style and functionality. The kitchen has a gorgeous island, Energy Star Stainless Steel Appliances, recessed can lighting, ample space, and casual dining area. The primary bedroom has a large walk-in closet, a private retreat bath with his and hers double sink vanity, and a fiberglass shower with glass doors. * Financing is offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan. Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $114,999, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,811, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

  21. 2023-11-08
    listed $108,903 Active 1338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1338 chars)

    * Pricing is subject to change and cannot be guaranteed or held. Waterfront Sites Available The Tempo Series is a complete drywall home that features a stunning kitchen meticulously crafted to provide both style and functionality. The kitchen has a gorgeous island, Energy Star Stainless Steel Appliances, recessed can lighting, ample space, and casual dining area. The primary bedroom has a large walk-in closet, a private retreat bath with his and hers double sink vanity, and a fiberglass shower with glass doors. * Financing is offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan. Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Financing offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan, Ohio, Texas, Indiana and Illinois . Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthly payment based on price of $114,999, 10.55 APR, $3999 Down or Down Payment Amount, 360 payments of $1,811, includes Site Rent, insurance or local site taxes. All conditions are subject to credit approval and approval for residency within an authorized community. Contact local Community Manager for details. Amounts rounded to the nearest dollar.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,151
− Mortgage interest
−$10,356
− Property taxes
−$2,773
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,772
− Management
−$1,772
− Depreciation
−$5,378
Taxable loss
−$824
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$198
After-tax cash flow
$2,366/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained bathrooms. It has a good curb appeal and is ready for a fresh paint job and landscaping to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve the home's curb appeal and attract potential buyers
  • Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Upgrading the flooring can add value and appeal to potential buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve the home's curb appeal and attract potential buyers
  • Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Upgrading the flooring can add value and appeal to potential buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tecumseh Public Schools
NCES district ID
2633720
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$58,026
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4775
State rank
#181 of 540 in MI

Livability — Tecumseh

Score
78/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#2459

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tecumseh, MI
City population
14,331
Population (ZIP)
14,331

Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,497 people
By 2030
92,722 · -2.9%
By 2040
85,641 · -10.3%
By 2050
77,971 · -18.4%
By 2075
60,043 · -37.1%
By 2100
41,468 · -56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.90%
Current HPI
234.4935
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-05-08 Price Changed $114,999 Zillow
  • 2024-01-12 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-01-03 Delisted Zillow
  • 2023-11-08 Listed $108,903 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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