3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,394 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 112 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,199/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$110
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$528/mo
Annual
$6,333/yr
Cap rate
17.03%
Cash-on-cash
38.34%
DSCR
2.71
1% rule
2.03%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $54k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $696 of equity ($408 loan paydown + $288 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#669 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
Brooks County ISD (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #776 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: exterior siding
— Visible wear and tear
Major: interior walls
— Paint peeling and worn condition
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— Older style, could be updated
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29