2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,145 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Condo
· Active
· 426 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,996/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$853
HOA
−$647
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$839
Net cashflow
$-309/mo
Annual
$-3,711/yr
Cap rate
5.52%
Cash-on-cash
-2.77%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-309 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $320k (14.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $375k).
It's been on market 426 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $320k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $-581 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Gulfport Montessori Elementary School (math 35% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,744 of 2,144 statewide, top 82%, 435 students, 86% FRL); Lakewood High School (math 27% / reading 44%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 915 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 48% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 282 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $269k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 426 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-FA0ZG9EZAPK7H1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29