3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
977 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,450/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$-74/mo
Annual
$-890/yr
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.88%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-890/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (7.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (14.2% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 88/100 on livability (#18 in OH, #191 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
Sylvania Schools (suburban): math 63% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #157 of 656 in OH (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Maplewood Elementary School (math 76% / reading 79%, grade A, #213 of 1,584 statewide, top 14%, 535 students, 16% FRL); Sylvania Arbor Hills Junior High School (math 56% / reading 58%, grade B, #305 of 654 statewide, top 48%, 502 students, 34% FRL); Sylvania Northview High School (math 59% / reading 78%, grade B, #130 of 781 statewide, top 17%, 1,352 students, 20% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $135k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.8% in Sylvania — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FBHW39975AMPQQ
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29