2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
970 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Pending
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,741/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$941
Tax + insurance
−$136
HOA
−$314
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$366
Net cashflow
$-16/mo
Annual
$-192/yr
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.38%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$50,260
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-192/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (1.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (3.0% below list).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $163k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in MI, #377 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
Novi Community School District (urban): math 73% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #7 of 540 in MI (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $180k implies a 332% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.8% in Novi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-FBP72Q9CKMZTYG
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29