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23588 N Rockledge
D+ Composite 49.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,500

23588 N Rockledge · Novi, MI 48375
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 970 sqft · Condo · 114 Days on market
Built 1978 $185/sqft · 9% below area Est $198k · 9% under $314/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Your search for an affordable condo has placed this great opportunity in front of you for a reason. The location provides value both at the macro level (high-demand neighborhood in Novi with great access to highways and amenities) and micro level (the upper-floor unit overlooks the community tennis courts & pool). The updates and upgrades will bring you peace of mind, from the granite kitchen & updated bathroom, to newer windows and complete central air system, plus brand new carpet. The solid brass hardware on the doors speak to the finer details that set it apart from other units. The only question is whether this will be "the one", or "the one that got away".

Key facts

  • Overlooks pool
  • Newer windows
  • Brand new carpet

Tags

OVERLOOKS POOLGRANITE KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMBRAND NEW CARPETNEWER WINDOWSSOLID BRASS HARDWARE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-192/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (1.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (3.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.8% in Novi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in MI, #377 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Novi Community School District (urban): math 73% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #7 of 540 in MI (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $180k implies a 332% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $163,345 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.38%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,656
List price
$179,500
Delta
-9.19%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.5%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-32,271
Equity at exit
$26,764
10-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-38,053
Equity at exit
$15,520

Cash invested: $50,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48375

Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,741 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$941
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $739/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$314
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$366
Net cashflow
$-16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,762
Max offer price $176,668
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,875
Closing costs
$5,385
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
23672 N Rockledge Novi, MI 2.0 1.0 970 $1,695 $1.75 12d 1 0.03mi
23737 Stonehenge Blvd Novi, MI 2.0 1.0 936 $1,900 $2.03 17d 1 0.07mi
24651 Olde Orchard St Novi, MI 2.0 2.5 1096 $1,795 $1.64 5d 1 0.50mi
22659 Woolsey Dr Unit 22659 Novi, MI 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,850 $1.80 17d 1 0.54mi
22123 Solomon Blvd Novi, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $1,794 $1.71 5d 4 0.79mi
23140 Halsted Rd Farmington Hills, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1090 $1,906 $1.75 1d 1 1.17mi
24360 Independence Dr Farmington Hills, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 967 $1,682 $1.74 1d 114 1.27mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$314 · $3,768/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    status $179,500 Pending 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,500 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,500 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    price $179,500 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,500 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,500 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-03-05
    price $189,500 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Your search for an affordable condo has placed this great opportunity in front of you for a reason. The location provides value both at the macro level (high-demand neighborhood in Novi with great access to highways and amenities) and micro level (the upper-floor unit overlooks the community tennis courts & pool). The updates and upgrades will bring you peace of mind, from the granite kitchen & updated bathroom, to newer windows and complete central air system, plus brand new carpet. The solid brass hardware on the doors speak to the finer details that set it apart from other units. The only question is whether this will be "the one", or "the one that got away".

  8. 2026-03-04
    price $189,500 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Your search for an affordable condo has placed this great opportunity in front of you for a reason. The location provides value both at the macro level (high-demand neighborhood in Novi with great access to highways and amenities) and micro level (the upper-floor unit overlooks the community tennis courts & pool). The updates and upgrades will bring you peace of mind, from the granite kitchen & updated bathroom, to newer windows and complete central air system, plus brand new carpet. The solid brass hardware on the doors speak to the finer details that set it apart from other units. The only question is whether this will be "the one", or "the one that got away".

  9. 2026-02-10
    listed $199,500 Active 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Your search for an affordable condo has placed this great opportunity in front of you for a reason. The location provides value both at the macro level (high-demand neighborhood in Novi with great access to highways and amenities) and micro level (the upper-floor unit overlooks the community tennis courts & pool). The updates and upgrades will bring you peace of mind, from the granite kitchen & updated bathroom, to newer windows and complete central air system, plus brand new carpet. The solid brass hardware on the doors speak to the finer details that set it apart from other units. The only question is whether this will be "the one", or "the one that got away".

  10. 2026-02-09
    listed $199,500 Active 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Your search for an affordable condo has placed this great opportunity in front of you for a reason. The location provides value both at the macro level (high-demand neighborhood in Novi with great access to highways and amenities) and micro level (the upper-floor unit overlooks the community tennis courts & pool). The updates and upgrades will bring you peace of mind, from the granite kitchen & updated bathroom, to newer windows and complete central air system, plus brand new carpet. The solid brass hardware on the doors speak to the finer details that set it apart from other units. The only question is whether this will be "the one", or "the one that got away".

  11. 2011-09-13
    soldstatus $41,505
  12. 2011-08-31
    soldstatus $41,505
  13. 2011-08-31
    soldstatus $41,505
  14. 2011-08-17
    historical
  15. 2011-08-10
    listed $34,900
  16. 2011-08-10
    listed $34,900
  17. 1991-05-28
    soldstatus $64,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$739 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,752 · $146/mo
Expected delta
+$1,013/yr (+$84/mo · 137.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,896
− Mortgage interest
−$10,055
− Property taxes
−$739
− Insurance
−$898
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,672
− Management
−$1,672
− HOA
−$3,768
− Depreciation
−$5,222
Taxable loss
−$3,128
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$751
After-tax cash flow
$558/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Novi Community School District
NCES district ID
2626130
Math proficiency
73% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$90,023
Composite
65.28/100
National rank
#489
State rank
#7 of 540 in MI

Livability — Novi

Score
86/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#377

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Novi, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
43,845
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,029
Household income
$112,545
Rent vs Own
29.9% rent · 70.1% own
Severe rent burden
517.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Asian 27% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
29% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
67% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 12% Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -337.82%
Current HPI
166.0153
Rent YoY
▲ 1.68%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+196.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $189,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $189,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $199,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $199,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $41,505 Public Records
  • 2011-08-31 Sold (MLS) $41,505 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-08-31 Sold (MLS) $41,505 REALCOMP
  • 2011-08-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-08-10 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-08-10 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 1991-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $739 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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