3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
943 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Other
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$173
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$210
Net cashflow
$562/mo
Annual
$6,743/yr
Cap rate
26.73%
Cash-on-cash
72.98%
DSCR
4.25
1% rule
3.03%
Cash to close
$9,240
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $33k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $33k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $228 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $990 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#755 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Mifflinburg Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #163 of 539 in PA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 49 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Union County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 2.7% in Mifflinburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FCQ4F9A1C00WDJ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29