2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Other
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,084/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$76
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$313/mo
Annual
$3,755/yr
Cap rate
10.51%
Cash-on-cash
15.07%
DSCR
1.67
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 48/100 on livability (#307 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, schools B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Grants-Cibola County Schools (town): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #74 of 95 in NM (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP.
Cibola County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FD0XTK1ATZN9S8
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29