6 Sunny Rd · Bluewater Village, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 6 Sunnydale in Sunrise Estates, a great opportunity located in the community of Bluewater Village near Grants. This unique home features a bright and open floor plan filled with character, including beautiful Southwestern touches, soaring high ceilings, and inviting living spaces designed for comfort and functionality. Situated on a generously sized fenced lot, the property offers plenty of room for outdoor living, hobbies, storage, or future possibilities. A large detached garage and multiple outbuildings provide excellent space for vehicles, tools, workshops, recreational equipment, or additional storage needs. Conveniently located approximately 16 minutes from Grants, this pro
Key facts
- Fenced lot
- Outdoor living
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 covered garage space, 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Propane available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction
- Exterior features: Fenced front and back yard; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Brick flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace (heating)
- Interior features: Wood-burning stove / fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 48/100 on livability (#307 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, schools B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Grants-Cibola County Schools (town): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #74 of 95 in NM (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Cibola County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.07%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $30,625
- Equity at exit
- $40,018
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $81,064
- Equity at exit
- $61,673
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 87005
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $472/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $313
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$89,000 Active
-
2024-06-04soldstatus
-
2024-04-18status Pending
-
2024-04-15price $59,000
-
2024-03-11$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $472 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $712 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$240/yr (+$20/mo · 50.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥91°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,004
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$472
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,040
- − Management
- −$1,040
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $2,432
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$584
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,172/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grants-Cibola County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3501170
- Math proficiency
- 14% —
- Reading proficiency
- 22% —
- Median HH income
- $35,996
- Composite
- 18.23/100
- National rank
- #14064
- State rank
- #74 of 95 in NM
Livability — Bluewater Village
- Score
- 48/100
- State rank
- #307
- US rank
- #26145
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bluewater Village, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 30
Population outlook (Cibola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,324 people
- By 2030
- 25,594 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 24,117 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 22,568 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 18,653 · -29.1%
- By 2100
- 12,719 · -51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
Political lean MEDSL · Cibola
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.6% · R 48.0% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.6pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+23.8 2008: D+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+18.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $89,000 NMMLS
- 2024-06-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-04-18 Pending — Southwest MLS
- 2024-04-15 Price Changed $59,000 Southwest MLS
- 2024-03-11 Listed $75,000 Southwest MLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $472 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…