2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$822/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$100
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$173
Net cashflow
$89/mo
Annual
$1,070/yr
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.09%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($822 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#450 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Fort Blackmore Primary (math 70% / reading 70%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 89 students, 94% FRL); Twin Springs High (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #231 of 319 statewide, top 75%, 242 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 48% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FDA5PB4NYPX5SX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29