144 Kitty Cole Ln · Dungannon, VA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautifully remodeled 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in Dungannon, VA, offers modern updates and easy, low-maintenance living. Inside, you'll find new laminate flooring throughout and a fully refreshed interior, along with all new appliances--including a washer and dryer--conveniently located in a laundry area within the kitchen. A ramp off the side door provides easy access directly into the kitchen, adding extra convenience and accessibility. The bathroom has also been updated with a new toilet for added peace of mind. Step outside to enjoy the covered front porch or take advantage of the playground located just out back, perfect for outdoor fun. A $100 monthly HOA fee covers lawn care and r
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Built 1988
- Listed 50 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Rolling slope topography (see remarks); Zoning: RS
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $100 monthly fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family house; One level; Residential property; Accessible entrance
- Construction: HardiPlank type siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Playground; Covered front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Laminate counters; See remarks
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($822 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#450 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Fort Blackmore Primary (math 70% / reading 70%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 89 students, 94% FRL); Twin Springs High (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #231 of 319 statewide, top 75%, 242 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 48% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.09%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $88,000
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -14.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Kitty Cole Ln | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $104 | 95 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-6,437
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $1,862
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24245
- Home prices YoY
- -3.3%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $822 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $428/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$173
- Net cashflow
- $89
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-29$75,000 Active 1079-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $428 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $615 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$187/yr (+$16/mo · 43.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$428
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$789
- − Management
- −$789
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable loss
- −$100
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$24
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,094/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This remodeled 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in Dungannon, VA, offers modern updates and low-maintenance living. The property is in good condition with new laminate flooring and updated appliances, making it ready for immediate occupancy.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more appealing
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves the home's overall appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more appealing ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves the home's overall appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scott County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103480
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,567
- Composite
- 57.65/100
- National rank
- #1061
- State rank
- #33 of 131 in VA
Livability — Dungannon
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #450
- US rank
- #19260
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dungannon, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 873
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,405 people
- By 2030
- 19,379 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 17,325 · -15.1%
- By 2050
- 15,464 · -24.2%
- By 2075
- 11,845 · -42.0%
- By 2100
- 8,516 · -58.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -70.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.4 2020: R+67.8 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+50.6 2008: R+43.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -6.01%
- Current HPI
- 175.337
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $75,000 TVRMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $428 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…