3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,098 sqft ·
Built 1941
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,422/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$236
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$299
Net cashflow
$-4/mo
Annual
$-52/yr
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.11%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-52/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (0.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (16.3% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $142k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#23 in IN, #1,958 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, commute F.
North Lawrence Community Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #170 of 301 in IN (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $133k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.2% in Bedford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FF4H4FF6JFMEXT
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29