2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,294/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$482
Net cashflow
$914/mo
Annual
$10,967/yr
Cap rate
14.73%
Cash-on-cash
30.13%
DSCR
2.34
1% rule
1.76%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $914 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#76 in OR, #3,386 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Centennial SD 28J (suburban): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #125 of 183 in OR (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pleasant Valley Elementary School (299 students, 68% FRL); Centennial Middle School (876 students, 68% FRL); Centennial High School (1,756 students, 65% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 344 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 2.5% in Happy Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FG4Q5X6B214SC2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29