8750 SE 155th Ave Unit 23B · Happy Valley, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 23 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to quaint Happy Valley Mobile Park! This lovely all-ages community is nestled among the trees, offering a peaceful setting while keeping all of Happy Valley's amenities close at hand. This refreshed two-bedroom, two-bathroom home features a bright, open floor plan filled with natural light. An updated kitchen offers newer countertops and appliances. Two spacious bedrooms are complemented by two full bathrooms. Current updates include a brand new water heater, recently installed carpet and new trex deck in the front. Step outside to a serene backyard retreat that backs to trees, creating a private and peaceful setting. Enjoy the sights and sounds of nature from the deck, cultivate yo
Key facts
- 15x9 shop
- Raised beds
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Land lease expires June 19, 2027
- Financial info: Monthly lot rent for the park
- HOA & community: Park management; Pet restrictions in effect; Located in Happy Valley Mobile Park (land lease community)
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park (residential); Main living area on a single level; Views of trees/woods
- Construction: Built in 1996; Skirting foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Fenced yard; Garden areas with raised beds; Outbuilding; Workshop; Yard; T-111 siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free‑standing range; Free‑standing refrigerator; Range hood
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with closet and laminate flooring; Second bedroom on main level with closet and laminate flooring
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet; Laundry area with exterior entry; Washer and dryer included; Vinyl window frames; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry with washer and dryer and exterior entry; Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $914 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 2.5% in Happy Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#76 in OR, #3,386 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Centennial SD 28J (suburban): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #125 of 183 in OR (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pleasant Valley Elementary School (299 students, 68% FRL); Centennial Middle School (876 students, 68% FRL); Centennial High School (1,756 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 344 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.13%
- DSCR
- 2.34
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,628
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8750 SE 155th Ave #53 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 2mo | $59,000 | $64 | 98 |
| 8750 SE 155th Ave #17 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 930 (+1%) | 12mo | $89,900 | $97 | 82 |
| 8750 SE 155th Ave Unit 23A | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 22mo | $89,900 | $97 | 78 |
| 8750 SE 155th Ave #43 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 859 (-7%) | 22mo | $124,000 | $144 | 63 |
| 8750 SE 155th Ave #12 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+14%) | 23mo | $139,000 | $132 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $34,643
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 30.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.61×
- Total profit
- $95,090
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97086
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 344
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,294 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$482
- Net cashflow
- $914
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12927 SE Ridgecrest Rd Happy Valley, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $2,395 | $2.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 12929 SE Ridgecrest Rd Happy Valley, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $2,395 | $2.84 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 12917 SE Ridgecrest Rd Happy Valley, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $2,295 | $2.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11386 SE Pleasant Valley Pkwy Happy Valley, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1001 | $2,855 | $2.85 | 1d | 17 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$130,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 27 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,529
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,202
- − Management
- −$2,202
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $9,460
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,271
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,697/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained mobile home in Happy Valley offers a good condition with updated kitchen and bathrooms, and a serene backyard setting.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace Trex deck — improves curb appeal and durability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace Trex deck — improves curb appeal and durability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Centennial SD 28J
- NCES district ID
- 4102800
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,619
- Composite
- 34.5/100
- National rank
- #10133
- State rank
- #125 of 183 in OR
Livability — Happy Valley
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #3386
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Happy Valley, OR
- County
- Clackamas County · 361,406 people
- City population
- 34,567
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,567
- Household income
- $102,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1281.0
Population outlook (Clackamas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 458,456 people
- By 2030
- 485,185 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 532,932 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 574,445 · +25.3%
- By 2075
- 665,497 · +45.2%
- By 2100
- 697,488 · +52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Asian 17% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 3% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Clackamas
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 53.4% · R 43.6% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 10.4pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+11.1 2016: D+6.1 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -279.06%
- Current HPI
- 261.5208
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.89%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $130,000 RMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…