3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,914 sqft ·
Built 1906
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,124/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,494
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$866
Net cashflow
$1,431/mo
Annual
$17,172/yr
Cap rate
12.32%
Cash-on-cash
21.53%
DSCR
1.96
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$79,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $285k).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $268k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $118k; list at $285k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,124/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 407% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FGD290EMTQ04GD
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29