Multi-family
301 S 59th Ave Ave W · Duluth, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$284,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Move right in and feel at home in this 3+bedroom, 2 bathroom traditional home, complete with a spacious two-car garage. Currently used as a duplex, this home can be used as an owner occupied duplex and/or a single family home. The main floor offers two bedrooms, a functional kitchen that flows into the dining area, and a comfortable living room perfect for everyday living. Upstairs, you’ll find an additional kitchen, a bedroom, nook, a full bathroom, and a spacious, carpeted living area, ideal for a second family room, playroom, or retreat. The home sits on a generously sized lot, offering plenty of outdoor space. Don’t miss your opportunity, schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Additional kitchen
- Generously sized lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $285k).
- Recommended offer: $268k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,124/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 407% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $285k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.53%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $235,833
- List price
- $284,900
- Delta
- 20.81%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218 N 60th Ave Ave W | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (-6%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $147 | 59 |
| 23 N 62nd Ave Ave W | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (-13%) | 22mo | $189,000 | $113 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $44,953
- Equity at exit
- $42,480
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $156,404
- Equity at exit
- $24,633
Cash invested: $79,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55807
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 17.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,124 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,494
- Tax from tax record
- −$214 /mo · $2,570/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$866
- Net cashflow
- $1,431
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $4,125 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,375 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,375 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,375 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,124 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,225
- Closing costs
- $8,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5725 W 8th St Unit 2 Duluth, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $284,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $284,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $284,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $284,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $284,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $284,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $284,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $284,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $284,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $284,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $284,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $284,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $284,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $284,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $284,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $284,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $284,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-01$284,900 Active 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
Move right in and feel at home in this 3+bedroom, 2 bathroom traditional home, complete with a spacious two-car garage. Currently used as a duplex, this home can be used as an owner occupied duplex and/or a single family home. The main floor offers two bedrooms, a functional kitchen that flows into the dining area, and a comfortable living room perfect for everyday living. Upstairs, you’ll find an additional kitchen, a bedroom, nook, a full bathroom, and a spacious, carpeted living area, ideal for a second family room, playroom, or retreat. The home sits on a generously sized lot, offering plenty of outdoor space. Don’t miss your opportunity, schedule your showing today!
-
2005-03-29soldstatus $118,000
-
2000-08-14soldstatus $76,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,570 · $214/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,880 · $240/mo
- Expected delta
- +$310/yr (+$26/mo · 12.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,488
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,959
- − Property taxes
- −$2,570
- − Insurance
- −$1,424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,959
- − Management
- −$3,959
- − Depreciation
- −$8,288
- Taxable income
- $13,329
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,199
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,974/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duluth Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711040
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,692
- Composite
- 41.92/100
- National rank
- #3360
- State rank
- #132 of 301 in MN
Livability — Duluth
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duluth, MN
- County
- Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
- City population
- 71,097
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,763
- Household income
- $62,067
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 407.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.84%
- Current HPI
- 212.6883
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+274.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $284,900 LSAR
- 2005-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,570 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…