3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,133/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$238
Net cashflow
$-67/mo
Annual
$-799/yr
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.73%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-799/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (7.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (31.3% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $113k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#236 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
Clark County R-I (rural): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #268 of 324 in MO (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Black Hawk Elem. (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 365 students, 56% FRL); Clark Co. High (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 308 students, 46% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FJSYFY4ACNG9KH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29