3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,585 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,004/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$770
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$421
Net cashflow
$-183/mo
Annual
$-2,197/yr
Cap rate
5.14%
Cash-on-cash
-4.13%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-183 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (12.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $166k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
12 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $140k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FJT5SQACT1VM37
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29