904 Ash St NE

Dawson, GA 39842

$50,000B

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · Built 1950 · SingleFamily · Active · 32 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,235/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax + insurance: −$50
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$259
• Net cashflow: $664/mo
• Annual: $7,966/yr
• Cap rate: 22.23%
• Cash-on-cash: 56.90%
• DSCR: 3.53
• 1% rule: 2.47%
• Cash to close: $14,000

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $664 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $782 appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 55/100 on livability (#508 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Terrell County (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #167 of 174 in GA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Cooper-Carver Elementary School (math 11% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,041 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 482 students, 100% FRL); Terrell Middle School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #449 of 470 statewide, top 97%, 244 students, 100% FRL); Terrell High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 309 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 79% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Terrell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Terrell County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.