8 bd · 0.0 ba ·
7,114 sqft ·
Built 1880
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 157 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,820/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$711
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,642
Net cashflow
$3,894/mo
Annual
$46,724/yr
Cap rate
21.87%
Cash-on-cash
55.64%
DSCR
3.48
1% rule
2.61%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 8 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $300k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($47k/yr) — positive. Per door: $487/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#232 in NY, #3,669 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, crime F, employment D-.
Lockport City School District (town): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #452 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 589 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $152k; list at $300k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 3.0% in Lockport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent per unit is only 16% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29