3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,147 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$63
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$210
Net cashflow
$177/mo
Annual
$2,118/yr
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.21%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (4.8% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#456 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Stockton R-I (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #77 of 324 in MO (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Stockton Elem. (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #159 of 1,115 statewide, top 16%, 359 students, 49% FRL); Stockton Middle (math 40% / reading 47%, grade D, #127 of 391 statewide, top 34%, 277 students, 42% FRL); Stockton High (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #124 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 285 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Cedar County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cedar County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $105k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FNFNDYCMPVV5ED
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29