111 Galyan St · Stockton, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this fully remodeled home near Stockton Lake for less than $100/sq ft AND seller is providing a home warranty! Being only minutes from walking trails, boat docks, fishing docks, and beaches makes this property an incredible investment or single-family home! Updates include all new vinyl siding, paint, texture, trim, luxury vinyl flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity and so much more! The home offers 1 bedroom downstairs as well as 2 bedrooms up the custom-built spiral staircase. There is plenty of built-in storage in the garage as well as the shed and room to park your boat or RV in the newly extended gravel driveway. When you come home from a day at the lake cooling off will be no problem from the newer complete HVAC system as well. Set up a showing today as this home won't last long!
Key facts
- Boating
- Major remodel
- Beaches
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: One-car garage; Driveway parking; RV access/parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories
- Construction: Residential construction
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Shed(s); Few trees on the lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Free-standing gas oven; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air; Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Gas oven; Free-standing gas oven; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (4.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#456 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Stockton R-I (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #77 of 324 in MO (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Stockton Elem. (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #159 of 1,115 statewide, top 16%, 359 students, 49% FRL); Stockton Middle (math 40% / reading 47%, grade D, #127 of 391 statewide, top 34%, 277 students, 42% FRL); Stockton High (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #124 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 285 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Cedar County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Cedar County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $105k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.21%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,404
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 S Chestnut St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,108 (-3%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $167 | 73 |
| 202 E Locust St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,168 (+2%) | 19mo | $139,900 | $120 | 58 |
| 202 W Davis St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+0%) | 14mo | $82,500 | $72 | 58 |
| 306 S Chestnut St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-14%) | 17mo | $174,950 | $177 | 55 |
| 303 E Oak St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+5%) | 19mo | $179,900 | $150 | 55 |
| 112 S High St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,170 (+2%) | 16mo | $74,900 | $64 | 54 |
| 501 S South Sac St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 13mo | $79,000 | $78 | 54 |
| 505 South St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,258 (+10%) | 13mo | $125,000 | $99 | 48 |
| 600 South St | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,240 (+8%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $177 | 44 |
| 804 South St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+13%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $154 | 33 |
| 405 S College St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,290 (+12%) | 18mo | $115,000 | $89 | 31 |
| 117 W Craig St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (+12%) | 20mo | $169,900 | $132 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $68,375
- Equity at exit
- $94,592
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.54×
- Total profit
- $192,405
- Equity at exit
- $203,992
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65785
- Home prices YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $229/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $177
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602 North St Stockton, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $105,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$119,900 Active
-
2026-03-20price $119,900
-
2026-02-03$129,900 Active
-
2022-08-11soldstatus
-
2022-08-10soldstatus Closed 812-char remark
Show marketing remark (812 chars)
Check out this fully remodeled home near Stockton Lake for less than $100/sq ft AND seller is providing a home warranty! Being only minutes from walking trails, boat docks, fishing docks, and beaches makes this property an incredible investment or single-family home! Updates include all new vinyl siding, paint, texture, trim, luxury vinyl flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity and so much more! The home offers 1 bedroom downstairs as well as 2 bedrooms up the custom-built spiral staircase. There is plenty of built-in storage in the garage as well as the shed and room to park your boat or RV in the newly extended gravel driveway. When you come home from a day at the lake cooling off will be no problem from the newer complete HVAC system as well. Set up a showing today as this home won't last long!
-
2022-06-21status Pending 812-char remark
Show marketing remark (812 chars)
Check out this fully remodeled home near Stockton Lake for less than $100/sq ft AND seller is providing a home warranty! Being only minutes from walking trails, boat docks, fishing docks, and beaches makes this property an incredible investment or single-family home! Updates include all new vinyl siding, paint, texture, trim, luxury vinyl flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity and so much more! The home offers 1 bedroom downstairs as well as 2 bedrooms up the custom-built spiral staircase. There is plenty of built-in storage in the garage as well as the shed and room to park your boat or RV in the newly extended gravel driveway. When you come home from a day at the lake cooling off will be no problem from the newer complete HVAC system as well. Set up a showing today as this home won't last long!
-
2022-05-21$99,000 Active 812-char remark
Show marketing remark (812 chars)
Check out this fully remodeled home near Stockton Lake for less than $100/sq ft AND seller is providing a home warranty! Being only minutes from walking trails, boat docks, fishing docks, and beaches makes this property an incredible investment or single-family home! Updates include all new vinyl siding, paint, texture, trim, luxury vinyl flooring, kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity and so much more! The home offers 1 bedroom downstairs as well as 2 bedrooms up the custom-built spiral staircase. There is plenty of built-in storage in the garage as well as the shed and room to park your boat or RV in the newly extended gravel driveway. When you come home from a day at the lake cooling off will be no problem from the newer complete HVAC system as well. Set up a showing today as this home won't last long!
-
2022-04-29soldstatus $40,000
-
2022-02-09soldstatus
-
2022-01-05$65,000
-
2016-02-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $229 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,018 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$789/yr (+$66/mo · 344.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$229
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $390
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$94
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,025/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stockton R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2929520
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,609
- Composite
- 39.32/100
- National rank
- #3989
- State rank
- #77 of 324 in MO
Livability — Stockton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #18379
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stockton, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,538
Population outlook (Cedar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,424 people
- By 2030
- 13,080 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 12,434 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 11,841 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 10,171 · -24.2%
- By 2100
- 7,744 · -42.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cedar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.6) · D 14.8% · R 84.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -69.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.6 2020: R+65.9 2016: R+63.9 2012: R+47.0 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.72%
- Current HPI
- 293.8984
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+84.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $119,900 SOMO
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $119,900 SOMO
- 2026-02-03 Listed $129,900 SOMO
- 2022-08-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-08-10 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
- 2022-06-21 Pending — SOMO
- 2022-05-21 Listed $99,000 SOMO
- 2022-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-09 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
- 2022-01-05 Listed $65,000 SOMO
- 2016-02-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $229 · -6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…